Don Ross is Ridiculously Good
Not my opinion but…
Wise girls settle for Mr Good Enough
Lori Gottlieb’s marriage advice has caused a storm. She tells us why women should get real about romance
teehee…
http://www.reddit.com/r/politics/comments/9hmmm/things_only_a_republican_could_believe/c0ctg5v
Sick Cover of “Officially Missing You”
My Haplogroups (Ancestry)
Intelligent People Take Note:
http://tpmtv.talkingpointsmemo.com/?id=3060320
Does anyone follow that logic at all?
The US Education System. Yay.
This wont make any sense to many of you, but to those that get it, it will make you sad, angry, or depressed.
Requirements for understanding this:
1. Basic understanding of probability
2. At least some experience playing Dota (Defense of the Ancients) in Warcraft 3
If you pass those, then read on. This is a series of chat log snippets from the game with names changed for anonymity.
OnlineGamer: Oh you lucky f*cker MathTeacher: What was lucky? OnlineGamer: The stun (referring to troll’s bash) MathTeacher: <incredulous remark> OnlineGamer: It’s only at what? 15%? — MathTeacher thinks about this a moment — MathTeacher: Hey razor. It took me a while to work out. But statistically I have more than 50% chance to stun in 3 hits. MathTeacher: so not so lucky — data exchanged: on a given attack, a stun has 15% chance to stun — OnlineGamer: That means your chance to stun on three attacks is 15% MathTeacher: in three attemps it’s better than 60% OnlineGamer: u just add MathTeacher: nooooooo OnlineGamer: yes MathTeacher: lol OnlineGamer: are you retarded? — more insult trading — OnlineGamer: The probability of one stun OnlineGamer: in three hits OnlineGamer: is 45% MathTeacher: There is an easy way to prove you wrong MathTeacher: Lets pretend it’s a 10% chance MathTeacher: If you hit 10 times, then by your method that’s 100% chance of stunning MathTeacher: but we all know that’s not true MathTeacher: you could miss 10 times OnlineGamer: this is just statistics with real life examples Me: warcraft 3 is NOT real life OnlineGamer: Lol yellow stfu OnlineGamer: You’re stupid as f*ck OnlineGamer: So according to you OnlineGamer: If i have a 10% stun and i hit 10 times OnlineGamer: in statistics when you want to know the chance of one event occuring on multiple occasions you add. — MOAR OF THE SAME ARGUMENTS —
Other great gems:
| OnlineGamer: | In real life, you can’t go above 100% but in statistics you can! |
| OnlineGamer: | This is the simplist proability dude! |
Alright so anyways, the reason I feel like I had to post this was because I’m trying to convince myself that this is not indicative of our education system. But the more and more I think about it, the more I’m saddened by the wasted potential of our next generation.
Anyways, I wanted to give out the screen name of the kid who didn’t understand probability, but that would be mean. He says he was older than 6th grade but we can never confirm that stuff in a game of dota. But! If by chance you are that kid, and you’re reading this. SEND ME A NOTE. I want to teach you some math.
Oh and btw. The probability of landing a stun in three hits is 1 - (0.853). Turns out that’s around 38.6%. I’ll have to ask the math teacher why he thinks it’s like 60%.
| number of hits | % chance of one or more stuns |
| 1 - | 15% |
| 2 - | 27.8% |
| 3 - | 38.6% |
| 4 - | 47.8% |
| 5 - | 55.6% |
| 6 - | 62.3% |
| 7 - | 67.9% |
| 8 - | 72.8% |
Moral of the story: Kids need better education. The math teacher was wrong. And yeah… he did get lucky with that stun.
Same Song But…
What a difference an arrangement makes:
Some Thai Commercials
Not for the soft-hearted:
http://www.youtube.com/view_play_list?p=CC2BE7A93D2B4895