1st Feb, 2010

Not my opinion but…

Wise girls settle for Mr Good Enough

Lori Gottlieb’s marriage advice has caused a storm. She tells us why women should get real about romance

5th Sep, 2009

teehee…

http://www.reddit.com/r/politics/comments/9hmmm/things_only_a_republican_could_believe/c0ctg5v

13th Aug, 2009

My Haplogroups (Ancestry)

Maternal Line:
https://www.23andme.com/published/ancestry/maternal/5cfd3f465655bbc3/3ba6b23896b0cd0b/

Paternal Line:
https://www.23andme.com/published/ancestry/paternal/5cfd3f465655bbc3/3490d0e5f5d6dbd9/

http://tpmtv.talkingpointsmemo.com/?id=3060320

Does anyone follow that logic at all?

This wont make any sense to many of you, but to those that get it, it will make you sad, angry, or depressed.

Requirements for understanding this:
1. Basic understanding of probability
2. At least some experience playing Dota (Defense of the Ancients) in Warcraft 3

If you pass those, then read on. This is a series of chat log snippets from the game with names changed for anonymity.

OnlineGamer: Oh you lucky f*cker
MathTeacher: What was lucky?
OnlineGamer: The stun (referring to troll’s bash)
MathTeacher: <incredulous remark>
OnlineGamer: It’s only at what? 15%?
— MathTeacher thinks about this a moment —
MathTeacher: Hey razor. It took me a while to work out. But statistically I have more than 50% chance to stun in 3 hits.
MathTeacher: so not so lucky
— data exchanged: on a given attack, a stun has 15% chance to stun —
OnlineGamer: That means your chance to stun on three attacks is 15%
MathTeacher: in three attemps it’s better than 60%
OnlineGamer: u just add
MathTeacher: nooooooo
OnlineGamer: yes
MathTeacher: lol
OnlineGamer: are you retarded?
— more insult trading —
OnlineGamer: The probability of one stun
OnlineGamer: in three hits
OnlineGamer: is 45%
MathTeacher: There is an easy way to prove you wrong
MathTeacher: Lets pretend it’s a 10% chance
MathTeacher: If you hit 10 times, then by your method that’s 100% chance of stunning
MathTeacher: but we all know that’s not true
MathTeacher: you could miss 10 times
OnlineGamer: this is just statistics with real life examples
Me: warcraft 3 is NOT real life
OnlineGamer: Lol yellow stfu
OnlineGamer: You’re stupid as f*ck
OnlineGamer: So according to you
OnlineGamer: If i have a 10% stun and i hit 10 times
OnlineGamer: in statistics when you want to know the chance of one event occuring on multiple occasions you add.
— MOAR OF THE SAME ARGUMENTS —

Other great gems:

OnlineGamer: In real life, you can’t go above 100% but in statistics you can!
OnlineGamer: This is the simplist proability dude!

Alright so anyways, the reason I feel like I had to post this was because I’m trying to convince myself that this is not indicative of our education system. But the more and more I think about it, the more I’m saddened by the wasted potential of our next generation.

Anyways, I wanted to give out the screen name of the kid who didn’t understand probability, but that would be mean. He says he was older than 6th grade but we can never confirm that stuff in a game of dota. But! If by chance you are that kid, and you’re reading this. SEND ME A NOTE. I want to teach you some math.

Oh and btw. The probability of landing a stun in three hits is 1 - (0.853). Turns out that’s around 38.6%. I’ll have to ask the math teacher why he thinks it’s like 60%.

number of hits % chance of one or more stuns
1 - 15%
2 - 27.8%
3 - 38.6%
4 - 47.8%
5 - 55.6%
6 - 62.3%
7 - 67.9%
8 - 72.8%

Moral of the story: Kids need better education. The math teacher was wrong. And yeah… he did get lucky with that stun.

10th Jul, 2009

Same Song But…

What a difference an arrangement makes:

6th May, 2009

Some Thai Commercials

Not for the soft-hearted:
http://www.youtube.com/view_play_list?p=CC2BE7A93D2B4895

24th Apr, 2009

Go Fox

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dP15zlyra3c

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